Saturdays Horseracing Tips, 27 March, The Flat Season Day One.

Free Horseracing Tips

By Carl Harris

The flat is back! Thank God! Its not only The William Hill Lincoln Handicap but it is also the Dubai World Cup. The prize money on offer is huge, the winner of the Dubai World Cup will pick up £2.1m alone. Wow!

Here are your free horseracing tips for Saturday, on the flat.

3:10 Doncaster (The Lincoln) Penitent – Win. Penitent went on to dead-heat at Kempton before chasing home Sovereign Remedy at Southwell, a performance which is given more merit when you consider Penitent would have finished a good deal closer had he not experienced traffic problems in the straight. All in all you get the feeling connections feel he is better than his rating of 98 and with Johnny Murtagh booked to ride – not to mention a favourable draw on the rails – he ticks all the right boxes in a race littered with thoroughly exposed handicappers. Penitent has the perfect draw in The Lincoln on the rail and I take him to land the seasons opening handicap.

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5:45 Meydan (Dubai), Twice Over- Win. Henry Cecil is quite simply one of the greatest trainers of all time! He has a serious chance of winning the world’s richest race, The Dubai World Cup with Twice Over. The draw wouldn’t be the best ever but Tom Queally is unfazed by it. He told the press in Dubai; ” I have ridden the horse twice out here and he has settled in well. He has not got a great draw but he is a well-balanced horse and I do not see it being a problem. He has improved no end since last summer and is in top nick. I wouldn’t say I am bullish, but I am very hopeful – Tranquil Tiger winning at Lingfield was a nice boost.” Certainly Henry Cecil knows the score.

Two Free Horseracing Tips for Saturday;

  • 3:10 Doncaster (The Lincoln) Penitent – Win.
  • 5:45 Meydan (Dubai), Twice Over- Win

Saturdays Early Prices from William Hill……

William Hill Spring Mile – 2.00pm Doncaster: 8-1 Ben Chorley,  Irish Heartbeat, 11-1 Kiwi Bay, 12-1 Benandonner, Elliptical, 14-1 Mountain Cat, 15-1 Billy Dane, 16-1 Audemar,  Captain Macarry, Moynahan, Mount Hadley, Sohcahtoa, The Osteopath, 20-1 Conry, Dhaular Dhar, Laudatory, Tartan Gunna, 22-1 Marajaa, 28-1 Lucky Dance, 33-1 Joseph Henry, 50-1 Alsahil (EW 1/4 1,2,3,4)



Williamhill.com Cammidge Trophy – 2.35pm Doncaster: 4-1 Tax Free, 9-2 Redford, 7-1 Arthur’s Edge, 9-1 Evens And Odds, 11-1 Able Master, 12-1 Barney McGrew, 14-1 Inxile, Prime Defender, Pusey Street Lady, 16-1 Damien, 18-1 Fullandby, 25-1 Fitz Flyer, Swiss Franc, 33-1 Star Rover, 50-1 Isabella Grey (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

William Hill Lincoln – 3.10pm Doncaster: 3-1 Penitent, 10-1 Mull Of Killough, 11-1 Huzzah, 12-1 Extraterrestrial, Prime Exhibit, Tiger Reigns, 14-1 Albaqaa, Mia’s Boy, 15-1 Collateral Damage, Viva Vettori, 18-1 Vitznau, 20-1 Smokey Oakey, 22-1 Harrison George, 28-1 Mister Hardy,  33-1 Dubai’s Touch,  Lang Shining, 40-1 Kaolak, 50-1 Advanced, Full Toss, Reve De Nuit, 66-1 Ishetoo (EW 1/4 1,2,3,4) * Amended! Doctor Crane now a non-runner

KEMPTON

Williamhill.com Rosebery – 2.35pm Kempton: 5-1 King Olav, 13-2 Becausewecan, 7-1 Demolition, Martyr, 8-1 Cairnsmore, 10-1 Mafeking,11-1 Red Cadeaux, 14-1 Dansili Dancer, 15-1 Formidable Guest, 16-1 Baylini, Liszt, 22-1 Porgy, 25-1 Pevensey, Stand Guard, (EW 1/4 1,2,3)



DUBAI WORLD CUP

Al Quoz Sprint – 1.20pm Meydan: 4-1 Sirocco Breeze, 9-2 California Flag, 6-1 Our Giant, 7-1 All Silent,  9-1  Finjaan, 10-1 Joy And Fun, War Artist, 25-1 Mariol, Sir Gerry, 33-1 Asset, Dohasa, Fravashi, Judd Street, Star Crowned, Terrific Challenge, 50-1 Prince Shaun (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

Godolphin Mile – 1.55pm Meydan: 5-2 Desert Party, 6-1 Skysurfers, 8-1 Cat Junior, 9-1 Forgotten Voice,11-1 Summit Surge, 12-1 Calming Influence, Lucky Find, Kalahari Gold, 16-1 Green Coast, 20-1 Glorious Noah, Vesuve, 25-1 Consul General, 33-1 Jet Express, Le Drakkar (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

UAE Derby -2.35pm Meydan: 6-4 Musir, 5-2 Mendip, 10-1 Raihana, 12-1 Frozen Power, 16-1 Della Barba, 20-1 Siyaadah, Uncle Tom, 22-1 Enak, 25-1 Timely Jazz, 33-1  Oroveso, Solid Choice, 40-1 Mr Crazy Boy, 50-1 Izaaj, 66-1 Makaanah (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

Dubai Golden Shaheen – 3.15pm Meydan: 5-2 Rocket Man, 11-4 Gayego, 13-2 Kinsale King, 10-1 Mutheeb, One World, 11-1 Eagle Falls, 12-1 Regal Parade, 16-1 Benbaun, 20-1 Force Freeze, 25-1 Laurel Guerreiro (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

Dubai Duty Free – Meydan 3.35pm: 9-4 Presvis, 6-1 Alexandros, 7-1 Good Ba Ba, 10-1 Confront, 11- Bankable, 12-1  Imbongi, Take The Points, 14-1 Courageous Cat,  16-1 The Usual Q T, 20-1 Justenuffhumor, 25-1 Ibn Battuta, 40-1 Lahaleeb, Snaafy, 50-1 Al Shemali, Calvados Blues Tam Lin, (EW 1/4 1,2,3)



Dubai Sheema Classic – 4.35pm Meydan: 6-1 Buena Vista, Cavalryman, Spanish Moon, 7-1 Youmzain, 9-1 Dar Re Mi, 12-1 Eastern Anthem, Jukebox Jury, 14-1 Campanologist,  Pan River, Presious Passion, 16-1 Mourilyan, 20-1 Anmar, Golden Sword,  40-1 Quijano, 50-1  Deem, 66-1 Pompeyano,  (EW 1/4 1,2,3)

Dubai World Cup – Meydan 5.45pm: 5-1 Gitano Hernando, Twice Over, 11-2 Vision D’Etat, 6-1 Gio Ponti, 15-2 Red Desire, 11-1 Crowded House, 14-1 Richard’s Kid, 16-1 Allybar,  Gloria de Campao, 20-1 Lizard’s Desire, Mastery, 33-1 Furthest Land,40-1 Mr Brock, 66-1 Amor De Pobre(EW 1/4 1,2,3)

A good look at Dubai from Charlie McCann of Stan James


Meydan Dubai Super Thursday Race Previews – 4 March 2010

Nathan Lynch of from the horses mouth previews for all races to be run at Meydan in Dubai on Super Thursday, 4 March 2010. This is the major lead up meeting to Dubai World Cup night and is jam packed with high class Group 1 quality race horses from all corners of the globe.

Meydan 3.35 1m1f110y Lstd

No2 Enak G1+
No4 Della Barba G1?
No6 Solid Choice G2+
No8 Vale Of York G1+
No10 Kona Coast G1-
No11 Storm Chispazo G1
No15 Landowner ??

Despite only being a Listed quality race it will take a horse of the highest quality to win this event, we are talking a G1 performer realistically that is need to take the prize here such is the massive depth of this field overall. 3 horse make major appeal, the first is the former Argentinian galloper now with Saeed Bin Suroor Enak who won a mile G1 event at San Isidoro in May 2009 4l*2l with Storm Chispazo finishing a well beaten 10th, Enak has since had 1 start in Dubai finishing down the track behind Mendip but that run can be excused, it looks a true G1 quality horse on its San Isidoro win, the 2nd one of major note is also a Saeed Bin Suroor trained galloper in the form of Breeders Cup Juvenile winner Vale Of York, he defeated numerous proven G1 performers annexing the Breeders Cup Juvenile and with the stable in such hot form the son of Invincible Spirit simply can not be ignored, the third one of major note is the unexposed Shamardal colt Landowner who has won 2 races recently at Jebel Ali and Abu Dhabi in prep for this contest and the form out of both of those races through horses like Beethoven suggest it will be super competitive here.

1st No2 Enak
2nd No8 Vale Of York
3rd No15 Landowner

Win Betting – No2 Enak shapes as very good value likely to be bet around the 25/1 mark on the exchanges, back it each way, No8 Vale Of York is likely to start 2/1 favorite or thereabouts, so leave it alone, No15 Landowner will be available at better than 20/1 and can also be nibbled at.

Value Place Bet – No15 Landowner

Enak winning the G1 Gran Premio Clasico Gran Criterium – San Isidoro, Argentina

Vale Of York winning the G1 Breeders Cup Juvenile – Santa Anita, USA

Meydan 4.15 6f G3

No2 Desert Party G1+?
No3 Barbecue Eddie G2+?
No5 Mrs Boss G1+,+?
No7 War Artist G1?

Once again this race will take a sprinter of the highest calibre to win despite being only a G3 race in terms of advertised purse and class, overall on that basis it shapes as a race in 2 between the Saeed Bin Suroor trained Street Cry 4yo colt Desert Party and the Brazilian raider Mrs Boss who herself is very well bred by the under-rated son of Wild Again, Wild Event, leaning is towards the speed machine Mrs Boss despite being beaten 4l by Global City over 6f on her Meydan debut on 18 February, she led that day and wilted due to fitness but is sure to have come on significantly for that run and her 3 wins in Brazil in February and March 2009 by big spaces were sprinting efforts of the highest calibre, form refs out of those races suggest she will give a huge sight here on the front end and prove very hard to run down in deep stretch, likely good value will be bet compared to Desert Party who twice defeated Regal Ransom at this carnival last year so it is likely to be short in the market especially considering it represents the very hot and popular Saeed Bin Suroor yard, Mrs Boss for us is the bet to make all on the front end.

1st No5 Mrs Boss
2nd No2 Desert Party
3rd No7 War Artist

Win Betting – No5 Mrs Boss is likely to bet around the 18/1 to 20/1 mark on the exchanges and does look very good each way value, No2 Desert Party is likely to be around 6/1 or 7/1 as our 2nd elect and also shapes as good value to be backed to win along with Mrs Boss, they have it between them. No7 War Artist is too short to be backed as the 3rd elect.

Value Place Bet – No5 Mrs Boss

Desert Party winning the G3 UAE 2000 Guineas – Nad Al Sheba, Dubai

Desert Party winning the G2 Sanford Stakes – Saratoga, USA

Meydan 4.50 1m G3

No4 Al Arab G1?
No5 Forgotten Voice G1+
No6 Skysurfers G1++

Another G3 race that is well above the advertised level in terms of class of horse competing in this race, 3 horses make appeal as high class potential G1 horses on their form at Meydan so far and it is clearly Skysurfers who looks the best of them, once again another charge from the super hot Saeed Bin Suroor yard which is having a sensational carnival, Skysurfers is undefeated having only its 3rd career start here after winning a lowly maiden on the All Weather at Southwell by 10l in a field of 13 in October 09, 1st up this time in Dubai last start it blew away a good field including Eagle Mountain 2nd btn 3.2l with form refs through those btn further back suggesting he is a high class stakes winner on the make, the scary thing is that was only his 2nd career start and he has so much scope for further improvement, Al Arab and Forgotten Voice look to be the only minor dangers but it is simply impossible to ignore the way Skysurfers won last start, it should remain undefeated after this contest.

1st No6 Skysurfers
2nd No5 Forgotten Voice
3rd No4 Al Arab

Win Betting – No6 Skysurfers is the deserved favorite in this race and is likely to be bet around the 6/4 mark on the exchanges which is the right price compared to how highly we have assessed it, it is the biggest certainty on the card, back it alone with good confidence straight out to win.

Value Place Bet – nothing in this race

Meydan 5.35 1m4f93y G2
No4 Anmar G2+,+?
No5 Halicarnassus G2
No6 Purple Moon G1
No9 Pan River G2?
No16 Autonomy G2+,+?

There is potentially 5 horses that could scoop the prize here, but 3 of them make major appeal. We have leant towards the lightly raced Rahy colt Anmar on top here from the super hot Saeed Bin Suroor yard, admittedly Purple Moon is more proven as a stayer with his efforts over the last 2 years but Anmar has 2 major factors in his favour, he was an impressive last start winner here over 11f giving him the race fitness edge and he has more scope for further improvement being so lightly raced whilst Purple Moon is 1st up from a break obviously using this as a prep run for his major assignment to come on Dubai World Cup night, the other one that makes significant appeal is the well bred Indian Group 1 winner Autonomy who is by Razeen (full brother to Warshaan and the best sire India has ever had winning multiple sire titles over there producing countless numbers of Indian classic winners), Autonomy is out of a high class Indian bred Steinbeck mare, even though Autonomy failed at his 1st start in Dubai when down the track behind Pan River (also engaged here) we feel there is more to come from him.

1st No4 Anmar
2nd No16 Autonomy
3rd No6 Purple Moon

This shapes as a good value betting affair where we can back our top two elects for a result across the race, No4 Anmar looks likely to start favorite here around the 9/2 mark, back it to win, the 2nd elect No16 Autonomy shapes as very good value likely to be bet at 30/1 or better, back it each way outlaying half the amount of the Anmar bet for a result across the race.

Value Place Bet – No16 Autonomy

Meydan 6.10 1m2f G2

No2 Allybar G2+
No5 Gloria De Campeao G1,+?
No8 Vodka G1++?
No11 Cavalryman G1+
No13 Red Desire G1+,+?

Once again another super strong race on this card that will take no less than an effort of the highest Group 1 calibre class to win here, 4 horses make serious appeal in this race and all are proven high class Group 1 performers, we have leant towards the champion Japanese bred Tanimo Gimlet mare Vodka as the top elect here, she got back to her career best form last start winning over 12f at Tokyo annexing the Japan Cup dirt, form refs out of that race suggest it was a group 1 race of the highest quality and clearly puts her on top here. It is another Japanese raider who comes out of that same race that we have down for 2nd in the form of the very well bred Manhattan Cafe 4yo filly Red Desire, she chased home Vodka in the Japan Cup dirt gamely beaten 1.5l 3rd and the start prior she annexed the G1 Shuka Sho over 10f at Kyoto defeating a very high class field full of proven Group 1 winners, the next best is also a high class stayer in the form of the French raider Cavalryman who last start finished 3rd to Sea The Stars in the Prix De L’Arc De Triomphe beaten only 2l, the 4yo son of Halling won his previous 3 starts on end and that Arc 3rd was in one of the strongest renew2als of the Arc in a long time.

1st No8 Vodka
2nd No13 Red Desire
3rd No11 Cavalryman

Win Betting – Our confidence is very strong around our top 2 elects here and there is enough value in the market to back both for a result across the race as one of our strongest races to be bet on the card, No8 Vodka is likely to be bet around the 13/4 or 7/2 mark and shapes as good value slightly better odds than we have it assessed at, our 2nd elect No13 Red Desire is also at good value compared to its true chance and is likely to be bet around the 13/2 or 7/1 mark, have 4 units on Vodka and 2 units on Red Desire for a result across the race.

Value Place Betting – nothing in this race

Meydan 6.45 1m1f G2

No1 Presvis G1?
No3 Alexandros G2+?
No5 Lahaleeb G1+,+?
No8 Justenuffhumor G1+?

As per the usual story for this meeting it will take a high class G1 performer to annex this race despite the Group 2 rating assigned on paper to this race, 4 horses in the field make appeal as potential winners here but it is the USA turf form that we feel is the most significant in this race, on top we lean towards the Redback 4yo filly Lahaleeb who last start annexed the EP Taylor Stakes at Woodbine over 10f in very good style 1.7*2.3l with further big margins back through the field, the form out of that race does look strong and it was a career best performance for the unfashionably bred filly so there is a minor query because of those factors, her prior form in The UK was not as strong but that EP Taylor Stakes win has to be respected, for 2nd it is another USA formline we rely on nominating Justenuffhumor for 2nd, last start he was one paced when 4.2l 6th to Bankable having his first start at Meydan on 19 Feb but his effort when 3rd to Goldikova btn 1.5l the start prior in the Breeders Cup Mile on turf is a very strong form line for this, that day he was making strong headway over the final 100y suggesting he is even better suited to this 9f test here, for 3rd the best of the rest clearly looks to be Presvis who will have come on significantly for its last start 7l 2nd to Allybar in a small 3 horse field race here on 5 February, not the strongest confidence about this race but still good value likely.

1st No5 Lahaleeb
2nd No8 Justenuffhumor
3rd No1 Presvis

Win Betting – This race just like the prior race shapes as a good value betting affair where we can back the top 2 elects for a result across the race but not with the same confidence as the prior race, No5 Lahaleeb is likely to be bet around the 11/1 mark or better on the exchanges and can be backed each way as the top elect, our 2nd elect No8 Justenuffhumor is also good value here likely to be bet around the 7/1 to 8/1 mark and can also be backed to win, outlay half the amount on Justenuffhumour compared to the size bet that you have on Lahaleeb to win.

Value Place Betting – No5 Lahaleeb

Meydan Previews (Dubai) For Racing on 4 February 2010

Meydan Previews For Racing on 4 February 2010

Nathan Lynch has some top advice for racing in Dubai. Get more previews at From The Horses Mouth

Free Racing Tips

Meydan Dubai Betting Tips

Thursday 4 February 2010 represents the 2nd meeting set down for the new race track purpose built in Dubai to host the Dubai World Cup from 2010 onwards called Meydan. We will be highlighting 5 selected races on this card, the quality of bets looks rather strong. Of particular interest to Australian followers is Race 3 with the engagement of the regally bred Redoute’s Choice South African G1 winner Musir who is on trial for the UAE 2000 Guineas and looks hard to beat.

Race times listed in brackets after each race number are UK times.

Meydan R1 (14:35) – Shapes as a race with a few seen chances on paper and as per usual hard to line a lot of them up with form references coming from various racing centres. We have decided to lean towards SWIFT GIFT on top who won a high class Heritage Handicap at Ascot in May 09 over 7f defeating Nezami and Dhaular Dhar 1.7*1.3l in a large 27 horse field, form refs out of that race suggest Swift Gift is potentially a Group class performer so it is in well weighted, the other potential high class runner that can’t be ignored is the Brazilian import AL ARAB who comes into this in fine form off the back of a Listed win at Cidade Jardim in Brazil last start, scored impressively over the mile that day 2.7*3.7l and that franked its high class Group 3 win at the end of December 08 when it knocked off two former Group 1 winners in the form of Quick Road and Biologo. Also minor claims exist around Skysurfers, Uncle Tom and Ocean’s Minstrel but preference is for the first two mentioned and they should be fighting it out with the class edge in their favour.

Betting Advice – Meydan Race 1

No13 Swift Gift (1) – 1 unit win
No8 Al Arab (1) – 1 unit win

Meydan R2 (15:10) – not the highest quality raced and only a few of these realistically make appeal from a class point of view and one of them on exposed class stands out over the others, that is GALLAGHER, if the real Gallagher shows up here he will beat this lot hands down, that fact that Meehan has engaged leading UK hoop Jamie Spencer for this ride gives us good confidence the horse is ready to fire 1st up from the 5 month lay off, as a juvenile in 08 he ran Lord Shanakill to a half length in the Mill Reef stakes over 6f at Group 2 level, he hit the line hard that day making up strong ground from off the pace suggesting this 7f trip may be his best go, Lord Shanakill franked that form when he was nosed out by Intense Focus next start over 7f in the Group 1 Dewhurst and then he trained on as a 3yo finishing 1.7l 3rd to Mastercraftsman in the Group 1 St James Palce Stakes and also won at Group 1 level in France in the Prix Jean Prat at Chantilly, Gallagher’s best effort of his 3yo campaign last season was a deceivingly strong win over Plum Pudding at Newbury over the 7f trip by wide margins, the beaten brigade was well above the advertised class of that race suggesting he still retained his Group level ability, the other horses engaged here are simply not Group class horses to the level of Gallagher, he has them covered.

Betting Advice – Meydan Race 2

No2 Gallagher (2) – 3 units win

Meydan R3 (15:45) – a high class field of “3yo’s” greets us here on trial for the UAE 2000 Guineas, we must remember that the Southern Hemisphere bred horses from Australia, Brazil and Argentina are actually 4yo’s by Southern Hemisphere standards but under the handicap conditions of this race it is basically WFA with penalties, Mick De Kock has a phenomenal record in Dubai and he saddles up an impeccably bred Australian colt in the form of MUSIR here who is by Redoute’s Choice out of the Encosta De Lago mare Dizzy De Lago who herself was a potential blacktype winner after placing in stakes company in Australian on debut when 2nd to Crystal Wit, Dizzy De Lago only raced 3 times before her career was cut short, Musir is a G1 winner in South Africa taking out the high class form race The Golden Horseshoe at Greyville over 8f last start by a widening 3l margin and the form through the beaten brigade suggest it was a Group 1 win of the highest merit, he is clearly the one to beat and stable confidence is high, the other Southern Hemisphere horse that may figure is the well bred type now trained by Saeed Bin Suroor from Argentina in the form of PERCUSIONIST who is by Southern Halo out of the Woodman mare Breadcrumb who was unraced, Percusionist was very impressive winning by 7l over 6f at Palermo in Argentina on debut and the form out of that race looks high class Group quality for the area, he should be able to transform it to this level required to be highly competitive, forget the European breds in this, they are not the class of these 2 previously mentioned, Musir and Percusionist will fight this out and both are serious UAE 2000 Guineas contenders.

Betting Advice – Meydan Race 3

No1 Musir (2) – 3 units win
No8 Percusionist (1) – 2 units win

Meydan R6 (17:40) – This is a Group 3 contest over 9f and a few high class types are engaged here that are well above the advertised Group 3 class of this race, clearly the best of them looks to be CROWDED HOUSE from the Meehan / Spencer combination again, he has been off the scene since July 09 when he was well beaten 6th of 12 behind Sea The Stars over 12f at Ascot, he only started twice as a 3yo last season before going amiss so we prefer to go back to his high class 2yo form as a point of reference including his 3.5l win in the Group 1 Racing Post Trophy at Doncaster over 8f, once clear that day 2f out he put paid to the large 15 horse field in a twinkling and hit the line strongly, he is by Rainbow Quest out of a Woodman mare so 9f to 10f looks to be his optimum trip, Spencer was also onboard that day so he knows the horse well, the best of the rest looks to be between Oiseau De Feu, Alexandros and Frozen Fire who resumes for the astute De Kock yard but Crowded House looks to have their measure as a proven high class G1 winner.

Betting Advice – Meydan R6

No5 Crowded House (1) – 2 units win

Meydan R7 (18:15) – the overall quality of this field in terms of Group quality horses is not that great but the German bred horse TITUREL is lightly raced and offers very good scope for further improvement here and gets the services of leading hoop K Fallon, he is by Dr Fong out of the Acetango mare Tucana and the 2nd dam is by Trempolino so it has enough stamina in its pedigree to suggest it will stay the 14f trip here, last start having only its 4th start it was sent out a short priced favorite in a Group 3 contest at Hoppegarten in German and didnt come on at the business end and was subsequently put away and spelled after that run, obviously it had excuses, it won 3 on end prior to that and at its 3rd career start scored by a widening 5l margin at Baden Baden defeating a well performed Galileo mare who came out and won a strong Listed race with ease 2 starts later franking the form, the start prior Titurel was sent to Chantilly in France where it also won impressively knocking off Puchet 2nd who at its previous 3 starts finished 2nd at Group 1 level each start in Argentina at Palermo and San Isidoro, 3rd home in that same race behind Titurel was the smart Daressalam who the start prior was beaten the same 2l margin in Group 2 company in Germany suggesting once again that Titurel is Group 2 level as a minimum with scope for improvement in German racing, that is strong enough to win this contest that is devoid of real Group racing depth of horse flesh.

Betting Advice – Meydan Race 7

No4 Titurel (1) – 2 units win