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Political Chaos, Latest Betting

May 9, 2010 By

Senior Conservative and Liberal Democrat negotiators have had “very positive and constructive” discussions, William Hague said as he left power-sharing talks to report back to David Cameron. What is the betting saying?

WITH GORDON BROWN still clinging to power, desperately, William Hill now offer 1/3 that he will announce his resignation as Prime Minister before Wednesday and 9/4 that he will still be in office when that day begins. ‘Mr Brown’s days as PM look numbered, but he appears in no rush to depart’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

WILLIAM HILL OFFER 2/5 THAT THE TORY-LIB DEM AGREEMENT WILL LAST UNTIL AT LEAST MIDNIGHT ON DECEMBER 31, 2010; AND 7/4 THAT EITHER LEADER WILL END IT BEFORE THEN. ‘It is important for both Party Leaders that their agreement proves durable or their own standing and judgement are bound to be called into question.’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

WHEN WILL WE DO IT ALL AGAIN? William Hill…year of next General Election….7/4 2010; 2/1 11; 7/2 12; 10/1 13; 10/1 14; 12/1 15

WHO WILL BE NEXT LABOUR LEADER…Evens David Miliband; 7/1 Alan Johnson; 8/1 Ed Balls; Ed Miliband; Alistair Darling; 12/1 Peter Mandelson; Harriet Harman.

A Labour MP has told Sky News Gordon Brown should quit as party leader as a poll suggests nearly two-thirds of voters believe he should stand down and clear the way for a new Prime Minister.

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What Will Gordon Brown Do Next?

May 4, 2010 By

William Hill have opened a book on what Gordon Brown will do next and he is 5/1 favourite to become a banker, 14/1 to become Tony Blair’s PA and 500/1 to become Presenter of The One Show.

General Election Betting

Is Brown a Dead Man Walking?

“I think we will have great fun with this market as we all have opinions of what we hope he will do,” said Hill’s spokesman Rupert Adams.

Gordon Brown Next Job After PM: 5/1 Banker (Chairman RBS or Northern Rock included), 6/1 Tax Advisor, 8/1 After Dinner Speaker, 8/1 Charity Worker, 12/1 Church Employee, 14/1 PA to Tony Blair, 16/1 Media Commentator/Journalist, 16/1 University Lecturer, 33/1 Odds Compiler, 50/1 Manager of Raith Rovers, 500/1 Presenter Of The One Show



Latest Tory Attack on Gordon Brown‘s Government….

IS BALLS ED-ING FOR EXIT?

LABOUR’S ED BALLS is being tipped to supply this Election’s ‘Portillo Moment’ by being defeated in his Morley & Outwood constituency. Transparency and anti-corruption campaigners at the Sunlight Centre have bought advertising space for a video which attacks Ed Balls for expenses abuses including flipping his house three times, claiming for a remembrance poppy wreath and taking an £89,000 payment for producing two pamphlets for the Smith Institute in 9 months. William Hill make him 8/15 to win, but say that punters are betting on him being beaten by the Conservatives, who are offered at 11/8.

‘Tory candidate Anthony Calvert seems to be making a significant impression on voters in the constituency and has been well backed to cause perhaps the highest profile upset of the campaign’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Hills also offer 50/1 Lib Dem; 50/1 Independent.



CHARLES CLARKE is also under threat in his Norwich South seat, which is a four-way marginal, with the Lib Dems 5/4 favourites to take the seat, Clarke 13/8 to hold it, the Tories at 5/1 and the Greens 11/2.

THE GREENS are odds-on favourites to win Brighton Pavilion where they are now 1/2, with the Tories 5/2; Labour 15/2 and the Lib Dems 16/1.

SCOTLAND’S closest run seat looks set to be Stirling where Hills make Labour Even money favourites, Conservatives 2/1; SNP 9/2 and Lib Dems 8/1.


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Hills Move to Cut Odds on Gordon Brown's Departure

October 12, 2009 By

Downing Street has moved to allay fears about Gordon Brown’s eyesight. Tests have discovered that the Prime Minster has two minor tears on his retina, but he will not be undergoing further operations, it was disclosed. With excessive claims for cleaning thought to be one of the focuses for the investigation led by Sir Thomas Legg, Mr Brown is on course to return many thousands of pounds for cleaning alone.

Brown to Quit?

Brown to Quit?

William Hill have cut their odds for Gordon Brown to stand down before the General Election from 6/4 to 5/4 and lengthened their odds about him leading Labour into the Election from 1/2 to 4/7 after the latest round of problems to emerge.


‘Speculation about Mr Brown’s vision and whether he will be forced to repay expenses have seen punters betting thatr he will not make it to the Election as leader’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe, as Hills also offered 6/1 that he will stand down by December 1 2009.

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YOU BET MANDY COULD SUCCEED GORDON BROWN

September 28, 2009 By

YOU BET MANDY COULD SUCCEED GORDON BROWN





LORD MANDLESON has been backed from 100/1 to 8/1 fourth favourite with William Hill to become the next leader of the Labour Party.

‘When Peter Mandelson was restored to the cabinet by Gordon Brown we offered 100/1 about him becoming the next leader of the Party, but since then he has been consistently backed and his odds have shortened regularly – and following his speech to the Labour Party Conference we expect to take even more for him to succeed Gordon Brown‘ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Hills currently make Alan Johnson 6/4 favourite to succceed Gordon Brown, with Harriet Harman and David Miliband 7/1 joint second favourites. Ed Miliband is 10/1, with Jon Cruddas and James Purnell both 12/1.



Gordon Brown is 4/7 with Hills to lead Labour into the next General Election and 5/4 not to. Labour are 14/1 to win the next Election with an overall majority while the Tories are 1/3 favourites and it is 5/2 a Hung Parliament.

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Gordon Brown Under pressure Say Punters

September 28, 2009 By

BROWN BACKED TO QUIT

GORDON BROWN has been backed from 6/4 to 5/4 with William Hill to be out of office before the General Election takes place - and is 4/7 to lead Labour into the Election.

‘Punters only want to back Brown to have left office before the Election at the moment’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Labour are now out to 14/1 with William Hill - the longest odds they have been since coming to power – to win the next General Election with an overall majority while the Tories are 1/3, the shortest price they have been since losing power, with a Hung Parliament offered at 5/2.
WILLIAM HILL have also cut their odds for Harriet Harman to succeed Gordon Brown from 8/1 to 7/1 joint second favourite after she was backed to become the next Labour leader after rumours spread that she has been canvassing party members to assess her own standing in the race to take over when Brown eventually quits.

LATEST WILLIAM HILL ODDS TO SUCCEED GORDON BROWN AS LABOUR LEADER…..6/4 Alan Johnson; 7/1 Harriet Harman; David Miliband; 8/1Peter Mandelson; 10/1 Ed Miliband; 12/1 Cruddas; Purnell; 16/1 Balls, Burnham, Straw.

BROWN TO LEAD LABOUR INTO GENERAL ELECTION………5/4 NO; 4/7 YES

TO WIN OVERALL MAJORITY AT NEXT GENERAL ELECTION…..1/3 Conservatives; 5/2 No Overall Majority; 14/1 Labour



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Brown Short Price to be Gone by End of Month…

June 3, 2009 By

Money Talks…It Says Brown is on his way!

Is Brown a Dead Man Walking?

Is Brown a Dead Man Walking?

Pressure may be mounting in Westminster on Gordon Brown, but looking at Betfair, in racing terminology he is now off the bridle and struggling to stay in the race! Money has come today and Alan Johnson is now favourite to be the next Prime Minister.

David Cameron was favourite and certainly the Conservatives are 1.15 to win the election, but now Brown looks a goner. Alan Johnson is 2.66 favourite to be the next PM. The market for leaders exit dates shows that Gordon Brown is now 2.3 to be gone by the end of June, not June 2010 but in less than 4 weeks. The Labour Party now have only 18% support in the polls (the lowest figure ever) and the Conservatives hold a 22 point lead. No wonder David Cameron is calling for a general election! Labour MP’s could well move to oust Gordon Brown as they worry about their seats in the next general election. If they get rid now they could have a year to build up the support to stay on the Westminster gravey train. The market supports that view.

The money is coming in relatively big volumes, for a market that is normally quiet. You can Back or Lay those odds but it is not looking good for Gordon Brown.

It is like rats leaving a sinking ship with Jacqui Smith and now Communities Secretary Hazel Blears has quit the cabinet, increasing the pressure on Gordon Brown. Health Secretary Alan Johnson has been forced to deny he is ready to take over amid reports of a backbench plot to oust the PM. But the Betfair market says otherwise! Sky News has just reported that Labour MP’s are trying to get him to resign. They have a copy of an email doing the rounds and a plot is underway!

Adam Boulton, Political Editor at Sky News, says the decisive factor of course will be how the party does in this week’s council and European Elections. Of course they will lose and history could repeat itself.  Boulton says;

Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair were both forced out before their time and John Major spent his last few years fighting for survival until the 1997 General Election gave him the coup de grace. Basically for a leader to go he must lose his authority both with his own Government team and with backbenchers, fearful he is dragging them to oblivion. Margaret Thatcher suffered first the loss of her Chancellor Nigel Lawson in 1989 and then in 1990 the resignation of Sir Geoffrey Howe.  Read Jacqui Smith for Lawson, and wonder if Alistair Darling perhaps could be the Geoffrey Howe figure.

If the plot is in the offing, the market knows. If this was a race it would be a real gamble with someone knowing something! What do you think? Back Brown or Lay Brown… your opinion could make you money on Betfair…

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