I’m In Cornwall, But No Bady Here. Baby Cameron Betting….

I am taking a few days off with the family, so no betting tips until Saturday, and I am enjoying Cornwall, like David Cameron and his family. Luckily though I have not added to my family whilst here!

David Cameron and his wife Samantha are considering what to call their new daughter, with the Prime Minister keen to include a reference to the county of her birth.

Mr Cameron said he was open to suggestions for Cornish names after the couple’s “unbelievably beautiful” daughter was born early during their family holiday in the county.

The 6lb 1oz girl was delivered by Caesarean section at the Royal Cornwall Hospital in Truro on Tuesday. She had been due next month.

Although the baby has not yet been named, Mr Cameron said: “I think maybe we’ll have to have – not that I’ll have any say in it, of course – we’ll have to have something Cornish in the middle.”

He added that his wife was looking through a baby name book “and she’ll decide, I’m sure, before long”.

Following the news that the Cameron family have given birth to a baby girl, William Hill have opened a book on the name of the new arrival. Marnie is the 2/1 favourite and family names Agnes and Enid are the 3/1 joint second-favourites. Hills are also offering an each way market in case the name is used as a middle name.

Tory favourites Edwina and Margaret at both priced at 50/1 and 1000/1 for Speed. Hills are also offering 10/1 that they couple have another baby while David Cameron is still in office.

“All the early money is for Marnie and it seems that this is polling the top vote with punters,” said Hill’s spokesman Joe Crilly.

Baby Cameron betting
….

William Hills Cameron Baby Girl Name: 2/1 Marnie; 3/1 Enid; 3/1 Agnes; 4/1 Annabel;9/2 Charlotte; 6/1 Elizabeth; 8/1 Mary; 12/1 Stephanie; 16/1 Nicola; 20/1 Laura; 25/1 Sarah; 50/1 Margaret; 50/1 Edwina; 100/1 Pam; 1000/1 Speed

Well Done Fabio Capello

Even before Kick Off of the World Cup, The England Team and Fabio Capello have done a wonderful thing. David Cameron has told British soldiers he is “incredibly proud” of their work in Afghanistan – and gave them a personal message from England boss Fabio Capello.

Speaking a day after a trip to visit frontline troops was scrapped amid fears the Taliban were planning to down his helicopter, the Prime Minister told them progress was being made in the country.

“Big progress is being made here,” he said to soldiers at Camp Bastian in Helmand province. You can see it in the training of the Afghan army.”

He added: “I can sum up this mission in two words – national security, our national
security back in the UK. We don’t have some dreamy ideas about what this mission is about, it is about that pure and simple.

The Prime Minister drew cheers from his audience when he told them their operational allowance was being doubled. And no doubt morale was raised with a message from Capello.

“It’s important you know how much all your effort means to the England players,” Mr Capello’s message said.

“We want you to know that you are the real heroes.”

Mr Cameron spent the night in Camp Bastian on the latest leg of his maiden trip to the country as Prime Minister.

He was forced to change his plans yesterday amid intelligence reports that his helicopter was being targeted by the Taliban.

Mr Cameron arrived in Helmand after pledging a “political surge” in Afghanistan to get British troops home as soon as possible.

He announced additional funding and labelled 2010 “the vital year” to make progress in stabilising the country.

David Cameron Spares The Bookies

This morning we told you how David Cameron had tipped a couple of horses on BBC Radio 4. ‘Don’t give up day job’, bookies tell PM:

BOOKMAKERS WILLIAM HILL say that the two losers David Cameron tipped listeners to the BBC Radio 4 Today programme have given the industry a million pound-plus fillip.

‘Had both of Mr Cameron’s horses won, bookies would have paid out over £1million to winning punters who followed his tips’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

Mr Cameron selected Midnight Fantasy at Wolverhampton; and Daring Dream at Ayr. The former finished unplaced and the latter was runner-up.

‘Punters were keen to back the PM’s tips to the extent that we had to create a special section on our website enabling them to place bets on both horses. We can only sympathise, and advise him not to give up the day job – any plans to gamble the country out of recession are prsumably now on hold – maybe he should let Mr Clegg have a go next!’ added Sharpe.


WILLIAM HILL HAD PLACED A £600 CHARITY BET ON THE TWO HORSES AND WILL NOW DONATE THE £600 STAKE MONEY TO MR CAMERON’S NOMINATED CHARITY.

David Cameron Turns Tipster

Free Horseracing Tips

Can Cameron Win?

After the new Prime Minister, David Cameron turned into a racing tipster on the BBC ‘Today’ programme, bookmakers William Hill say they have been inundated by punters wanting to back the PM’s tips.

His selections were 4/1 chance Daring Dream running in the 3.50 at Ayr and Midnight Fantasy in the 3pm at Wolverhampton.

How will David Cameron get on today?

“The PM said he had picked the horses as both names were relevant to the new coalition”, said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe. “We can only hope that the PM is a better politician than tipster or this could cost us hundreds of thousands”.

Hills have placed a charity bet of £100 each-way on each horse and £100 each-way double on the two which could net almost £9000 for the relevant worthy cause.

Perhaps a new career beckons for Mr Cameron?

Political Chaos, Latest Betting

Senior Conservative and Liberal Democrat negotiators have had “very positive and constructive” discussions, William Hague said as he left power-sharing talks to report back to David Cameron. What is the betting saying?

WITH GORDON BROWN still clinging to power, desperately, William Hill now offer 1/3 that he will announce his resignation as Prime Minister before Wednesday and 9/4 that he will still be in office when that day begins. ‘Mr Brown’s days as PM look numbered, but he appears in no rush to depart’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

WILLIAM HILL OFFER 2/5 THAT THE TORY-LIB DEM AGREEMENT WILL LAST UNTIL AT LEAST MIDNIGHT ON DECEMBER 31, 2010; AND 7/4 THAT EITHER LEADER WILL END IT BEFORE THEN. ‘It is important for both Party Leaders that their agreement proves durable or their own standing and judgement are bound to be called into question.’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.

WHEN WILL WE DO IT ALL AGAIN? William Hill…year of next General Election….7/4 2010; 2/1 11; 7/2 12; 10/1 13; 10/1 14; 12/1 15

WHO WILL BE NEXT LABOUR LEADER…Evens David Miliband; 7/1 Alan Johnson; 8/1 Ed Balls; Ed Miliband; Alistair Darling; 12/1 Peter Mandelson; Harriet Harman.

A Labour MP has told Sky News Gordon Brown should quit as party leader as a poll suggests nearly two-thirds of voters believe he should stand down and clear the way for a new Prime Minister.

General Election Predictions

As General Election day draws near we have done a straw poll and it seems, that in what is a very close call, the Conservatives have a chance of winning. Bookmakers are offering 5/6 that the Tories win with a majority and it is also 5/6 that there is a Hung Parliament. We ask a range experts (not necessarily in politics) what they predict the outcome will be….

From the responses it seems that a pattern is emerging….

Nick Luck (Channel 4 and Racing UK) told Racing Diary that he thinks the Tories might snare an absolutely minute – ie single figure – majority.

Jon Gaunt (SunTalk Radio) Has a very definite view. “It is not who wins this election but who wins the next election in six months time. I predict a small Conservative minority which is likely to prove so unworkable that David Cameron will need to go back to the Country to seek a mandate to govern effectively”

Iain Dale (Conservative Blogger) in January predicted a Conservative majority of twelve and is sticking by that on the eve of the election.

Charlie McCann from Stan James thinks the momentum will swing towards the Tories in the last 48 hours especially when the daily newspapers have their say on Thursday and believe they will just have a majority in the House Of Commons on Friday morning.

Graham Sharpe from William Hill is more confident that the Conservative Party will form the new government with a majority of around 20 seats. He also thinks we will see Gordon Brown quit as Labour Leader before Saturday.

Barry Robson (Tipster) thinks that it will be a very small Tory majority but that there is likely to be another UK election within months as a result.

Martel Maxwell, Author (Scandalous) and Journalist thinks that the Election may result in a slim Conservative victory but it will be more interesting in Scotland.

Venetia Thompson (Author) Thinks the Tories will definately win with a small majority, possibly in single figures, avoiding a hung Parliament.

Carl Harris from Racing Diary thinks that it is going to be close, very close and David Cameron will need the momentum to carry the Conservatives over the line. “I hate to say it but I think it could be a hung Parliament and I have said before that Gordon Brown could remain as PM despite not winning the election. Brown doesn’t need to win elections to get his jobs”.

The UK goes to the polls on Thursday 6th May. What do you think?

Latest Odds….

General Election Is Too Close To Call Say Bookies

ELECTION NOW PHOTO-FINISH TWO HORSE RACE, SAY BOOKIES

The Tories could be on course for an outright victory in the General Election, according to the latest poll of key marginal constituencies.

David Cameron

Can David Cameron manage to win an outright majority on May 6?  A Reuters/Ipsos MORI survey found support for Labour and the Tories was neck-and-neck in seats which the Conservatives must win to get a majority in Parliament.

Conducted across 57 Labour-held constituencies, the poll shows that 36% of people in these marginals now plan to vote Conservative, and the same percentage will vote Labour. This compares to 35% support for the Tories last week and 38% for Labour.


The General Election Political Betting…

THE struggle to win the General Election has gone from a four- to a two-horse race over the weekend, say bookmakers William Hill, who are now taking serious bets only for a Hung Parliament or Tory outright victory.

‘The debates made it a four horse race, but since ‘Bigot-gate’, support for Labour has dried up, and the Lib Dem surge has now slowed to a trickle’ said Hill’s spokesman Graham Sharpe.’It is now a two horse race headed for a photo finish’

  • WILLIAM HILL NOW OFFER 5/6 THAT THE ELECTION WILL RESULT IN A HUNG PARLIAMENT;
  • 5/6 THAT IT WILL PRODUCE AN OVERALL MAJORITY FOR THE CONSERVATIVES; 20/1 LIKEWISE FOR LABOUR AND 40/1 LIB DEMS.
  • TO BE LARGEST PARTY…1/12 Con; 13/2 Lab; 16 Lib Dem.
  • TO BE PM ON JUNE 1, 2010…..1/4 Cameron; 10/3 Brown; 10/1 Clegg.

GORDON BROWN IS 4/6 WITH WILLIAM HILL TO RESIGN AS LABOUR LEADER BEFORE SATURDAY, 11/10 STILL TO BE IN OFFICE ON SATURDAY. David Miliband is 7/4 favourite to succeed him with Hills who also offer 6/1 Ed Miliband and Alan Johnson. (More on request).


WILLIAM HILL OFFER 5/2 THAT THERE WILL BE TWO GENERAL ELECTIONS THIS YEAR.



Brown Short Price to be Gone by End of Month…

Money Talks…It Says Brown is on his way!

Is Brown a Dead Man Walking?

Is Brown a Dead Man Walking?

Pressure may be mounting in Westminster on Gordon Brown, but looking at Betfair, in racing terminology he is now off the bridle and struggling to stay in the race! Money has come today and Alan Johnson is now favourite to be the next Prime Minister.

David Cameron was favourite and certainly the Conservatives are 1.15 to win the election, but now Brown looks a goner. Alan Johnson is 2.66 favourite to be the next PM. The market for leaders exit dates shows that Gordon Brown is now 2.3 to be gone by the end of June, not June 2010 but in less than 4 weeks. The Labour Party now have only 18% support in the polls (the lowest figure ever) and the Conservatives hold a 22 point lead. No wonder David Cameron is calling for a general election! Labour MP’s could well move to oust Gordon Brown as they worry about their seats in the next general election. If they get rid now they could have a year to build up the support to stay on the Westminster gravey train. The market supports that view.

The money is coming in relatively big volumes, for a market that is normally quiet. You can Back or Lay those odds but it is not looking good for Gordon Brown.

It is like rats leaving a sinking ship with Jacqui Smith and now Communities Secretary Hazel Blears has quit the cabinet, increasing the pressure on Gordon Brown. Health Secretary Alan Johnson has been forced to deny he is ready to take over amid reports of a backbench plot to oust the PM. But the Betfair market says otherwise! Sky News has just reported that Labour MP’s are trying to get him to resign. They have a copy of an email doing the rounds and a plot is underway!

Adam Boulton, Political Editor at Sky News, says the decisive factor of course will be how the party does in this week’s council and European Elections. Of course they will lose and history could repeat itself.  Boulton says;

Margaret Thatcher and Tony Blair were both forced out before their time and John Major spent his last few years fighting for survival until the 1997 General Election gave him the coup de grace. Basically for a leader to go he must lose his authority both with his own Government team and with backbenchers, fearful he is dragging them to oblivion. Margaret Thatcher suffered first the loss of her Chancellor Nigel Lawson in 1989 and then in 1990 the resignation of Sir Geoffrey Howe.  Read Jacqui Smith for Lawson, and wonder if Alistair Darling perhaps could be the Geoffrey Howe figure.

If the plot is in the offing, the market knows. If this was a race it would be a real gamble with someone knowing something! What do you think? Back Brown or Lay Brown… your opinion could make you money on Betfair…