scoop6 winnings are huge

This Morning I was sent an excellent analysis of today’s Scoop 6 by Blogger Fathernadsontips. The Scoop 6 is a six figure payout! Backing with Blue Square sees you get 10% back, plus a Free Bet.

Scoop 6 – Easter Weekend. 11th April

2.05 Kempton – A fantastic very good class handicap over a mile, where it appears that all the horses involved have some chance.

SALTAGIOO is an Italian horse who has recently been in the frame in his races. His win last time out was a very bold effort and although up against stronger opposition he could go close here, and his running style suggests that he is adaptable if this became a tactical race. However he may not be good enough for a few of these. Such as CORDELL who could be a very dangerous horse in a race like this. He is extremely lightly raced with only 2 runs last year, winning the second comfortably. Up 9lbs for today in a stronger race but is only a 4 year old and it would be expected he strengthened up within the last year. Promising as the 2nd in his last race is a duel class 2 winner and 4th, 6th, 8th, 9th and last have won since then, with the 8th running respectfully in a Group 3 race. EXTRATERESTRIAL will clearly be fit and ready for this race after his 2nd in the Spring Mile handicap at Doncaster 2 weeks ago. Coming from the rear to weave his way through the field to only be half a length down is no doubt impressive. However the only real negative is his only run on All Weather was below average so is one I will respectfully leave alone, even with 5lbs off his back thanks to his jockey. TITAN TRIUMPH is arguably the best story of the All Weather winter, improving hugely from winning a Class 5 race, to winning a Class 2. It is argued that this one has too much speed to be a mile horse and I believe he could have been a sprinter. The only doubt here is that he has never won at Kempton, although can clearly go right handed as he is a winner at Goodwood. Shortlisted. MAHADEE is also a very much improved horse over the winter and has taken his chance in Pattern races such as the Winter Derby and the Ladybird Stakes, and although not been quite good enough in those classes he has run well in this grade. However against weaker opposition. CAPE HAWK is one who runs well fresh and fitness will be no issue here and will definitely be there with the form of his recent runs at Kempton and Ascot, but there may be a few better here.
2.25 Haydock – A large field good class handicap hurdle over 2 Miles and a half.
I have narrowed this race down to 4 horses with chances in the race and the first is CHANCE DU ROY who is by far the most lightly raced of these and hence has the potential for the most improvement. A bit harsh he has to carry top weight however looked like staying this trip on his penultimate run at Newbury. He should strip fitter for his recent run at the end of February. He weakened about 2 furlongs out then but was probably not fit for that. Leading chance. SINGHALONGTASVEER is another with a chance, it is slightly questionable whether this is the trip for him although I believe he is adaptable in that respect as he has form over 2-3 Miles. Ground no issue here and one of the value bets of the race. FLAKE is a prolific winner in and around this class of race and after a poor Spring/Winter he has improved again, however it is suspect that he will be good enough to beat this field. Finally YEOMAN SPIRIT must have a chance on the basis of his win over this distance last May, and he has dropped to a winnable mark, with his last few outings not being suitable (distance and ground) and may be a worthwhile Each Way bet in a race with 16 Runners (hopefully all run)

2.55 Haydock – A very good handicap hurdle over 2 Miles and a half, In which many of these are unexposed. Not one for huge stakes.
BURTON PORT has to be the one we start with after finishing a close 5th in a Grade 3 race at Sandown last month although he does give the impression he will stay further, he must be respected in this field, especially as one who (when he has stayed up) has not been unplaced in all his starts. Has to carry joint top weight though and there may be one with more improvement who is better treated at the weights, Such as ROUGE ET BLANC, who is hugely unexposed after only 3 runs and came a close second to Trenchant, who is a Grade 2 winner and Grade 1 runner on his last start. Although there was nothing else really to take out of that race, this trip looks to suit. Looks hugely overpriced at 12/1 (early morning, likely to be backed in) the ground is uncertain as all runs have been on heavy or soft. He is also related to Voy Por Ustedes. DANNY ZUKO is the bottom weight and although Napped to win this race by the Racing Post, I very much have my doubts, firstly the fact it has taken him so long to get within 10 lengths of winning before his win last month. But also he did not really have much to beat in his last race and I think will be outclassed here, regardless of weight. I would have been much more interested in SPARROW HILLS but for his mind boggling weight. He had finished not far off 2nd to a horse who improved to this sort of class. However had to be dropped to maiden company to win and although he won easily, he should be nearer the foot of the weights rather than the top.

3.10 Kempton – An interesting Listed class race over a Mile, which looks very competitive.
We have to start with SAINT ARCH who is unbeaten in 3 for Mark Johnston and could be a star of the season. Slightly surprising this one isn’t going to the 2,000 Guineas and has set sights slightly lower. His last run was most impressive pulling away from a field with potential in a canter. Also appears versatile as he has the speed to pull away if necessary and so if these are going to go off fast, Joe Fanning could sit him in behind and pick them off in the final furlong. CAPTAIN RAMIUS has a 3lbs penalty for already proving himself at this kind of class, also an improved winner (double course winner) all of his wins have been over 7 furlongs. Appears to be able to step up an extra furlong on pedigree but watching his last few runs I am not convinced. SHAMPAGNE is one of the more interesting ones to look at due to his running style, whilst the others will go off at full tilt, he will be held back for a late run. Having been a 6 furlong winner at 2 years old, he will have the speed to come through the field. He was only 2 lengths off SOHCAHTOA when running the Kentucky Derby Trial here over 3 weeks ago but appeared to be restless and if he settles better after that, should go close. The previously mentioned SOHCAHTOA was a huge price for his last run in the same race at SHAMPAGNE, although was allowed an easy lead and he does not appear to have the quality to pull more out when headed. He will not be running alone at the front of the field.

3.25 Carlise – Typical scoop 6 race, hugely competitive handicap chase over 3 miles…Brilliant!
BANNISTER LANE can be ruled out immediately as anything firmer than soft hinders this horse’s chances hugely and for you layers out there would appear to be the first place to start. However here we are looking for winners and although finding horses effective on good ground here is seeming harder than first thought, ORPEN DE L’ISLE is a good staring place, one of the most consistent horses in the field he won his last race over 2 Miles 5 Furlongs well, even if the class of that race leaves something to be desired compared to this. However last year he did win a Class 2 Novice Chase so could be a likely one here. However question marks lay over his stamina as he has never gone further than his last race and could be vulnerable near the finish. MILL SIDE is the most interesting runner in the field, having his handicap debut today at the age of 9 he has only had 9 starts, with one of his wins being over 3 Miles, and Good ground appears to be his best. However very bad jumping let him down in his last run and doesn’t appear to be the one to have onside. BAFANA BOY therefore is my selection, he is hugely effective on good ground or firmer and is at home over this trip. Last run can be forgotten.

3.45 Kempton – large field handicap over 7 furlongs.
FLOWING CAPE has to be my NAP of the day tomorrow, he has improved in his last few runs and has been given a chance by the handicapper. After runs ranging between 6 and 9 furlongs, this 7 furlong trip appears to be his optimum and would have got closer to Flipando in his last run but for having a poor draw and running wide. He has what can only be said as the 2nd best possible draw regarding his style of racing tomorrow, which is up near the front and so long has he does not get boxed in or squeezed out, he has the class to take this race. The only slightest concern is that all of his wins have been at Wolverhampton but I would not be too worried about that. If FLOWING CAPE were to falter though by next best would be THEBES, who ran a shocker last time out at Doncaster last time, however is better on All Weather and could go well at a big price even though his best trip appears to be 6 furlongs. Although he has won over 7. I would have to be mad not to also put up AL MUHEER, who has won over this trip and over a mile. Could be argued he should have done better in his last race. Also looking at that previous race, Thebes had much the worst draw to only be beaten a nose by this one and I would much rather be with him.

Recommendations –
2.05 Kempton – Cordell
2.25 Haydock – Chance Du Roy / Yeoman Spirit
2.55 Haydock – Rouge Et Blanc
3.10 Kempton – Saint Arch / Champagne
3.25 Carlise – Bafana Boy
3.45 Kempton – Flowing Cape / Thebes