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JULY 2008
Sunday 27 July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice The Becomes the King of Ascot.... Everything I needed to say I said yesterday, other than what a top class jockey Jonny Murtagh is. Absolutely brilliant. What a horse the Duke is, only the really good ones come back when being headed! I also cant help thinking that the definition of ‘synergy’ is evident when you look at Aiden O’Brien and Jonny Murtagh. They seem to produce a sum greater than 100% working together!
I had a huge bet on The Duke and needed oxygen after the race, but what a race and what a top class horse he is! Saturday 26 July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Will Duke Stay the Trip? There is doubt in the media today about whether Duke of Marmalade will stay the King George trip. Let me tell you where I stand, I in fact have absolutely no idea, whether he will or wont, which differs from most of the media pundits, who seem to know. I look at it like this, he is trained by Aiden O’Brien, He has lifted 13 Group One trophies this season, He saddles Duke of Marmalade who is unbeaten this year and is a huge stallion prospect, he has a wealth of talent in his stable and for me is clearly the BEST TRAINER OF HIS GENERATION. So do I accept that he just may know what he is doing and dare to suggest that if he did not think he would get trip then he would not be here? Of course, I don’t think I know better than Aiden O’Brien. Given that then I am happy to be with Duke of Marmalade and by following his judgement has made me and readers of this page a lot of money this season! DUKE OF MARMALADE is my NAP, in the table I am second, and will now try to close on the leader who is doing very very well! Thursday 23rd July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice DUKE IS NAP TO WIN KING GEORGE So this weekend is the KING GEORGE and it is DUKE OF MARMALADE that is the one to focus on. It clearly is a match between The Duke and Youmzain. Youmzain won a Group One last time out and you may recall he was the horse narrowly beaten in the Arc last season by Dylan Thomas, after that long Stewards. Aiden O’Brien the Group One master saddles his star horse of this season, Jonny Murtagh rides The Duke and he will be joined by stablemates Macarthur and Red Rock Canyon. There has been some strong support for Lurcarno, but if Duke of Marmalade stays the trip then he should win. That is the only real worry, the trip, even Aiden O’Brien says he can not be sure whether he will stay. If he doesn’t then surely Youmzain will be the one to profit. NAPS TABLE UPDATE Monday 13th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Busy Week Ahead... I am on a course all week, so I may struggle to update the site this week. Luckily Monday is a quiet day ! Moonstone won another Group One for Aiden O'Brien, wow! Sunday 12th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice John Smith's Cup 12/1 JOB DONE GROUND condititions were heavy yesterday at York, which meant the mudlarks came to the fore and spot on we were with Flying Clarets. Job Done! 20-1 early won at 12-1. NAPS TABLE - now 4th Winker is Back Aiden Goes for Another Group One
Saturday 11th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Heavy Going for John Smith's Cup GROUND conditions deteriorated to heavy at York on Friday afternoon after 8mm of rain, and further showers for the area were forecast by the Met Office overnight and during Saturday morning. So Who Will Win? Well with the terrible ground I am going for Flying Clarets- small stakes. Richard Fahey has a great record at York and this horse loves the ground. So thats my pick! Friday 11th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice The Feature of the Week...The July Cup Where do we start? This is a good race to say the least. I suspect that if you ran it five times you would get five different results! Lets start with the racecard. 15 runners go to post. Those inform include Kingsgate Naitive and Utmost Respect who chalked up significant victories last time. Ben Baun and Prime Defender are class acts and US Ranger has the class to pop up and win.
Kingsgate Naitive has the higest rating at 120 and won in the style of a top class sprinter at Ascot. Getting 7 pounds weight for age, and Seb Sanders aboard then this is the starting point. John Best is in good form and the only concern is the ground, as he has won with less give, but this may just be circumstance. Ithink Kingsgate Native is a TOP CLASS sprinter and the weight allowance may be too much for the rest to cope with. I would not be going too heavy but I do like Kingsgate Native and at 5/1 this looks value. Marchand d'or will go on the ground and has the speed, but for me all things point to John Best's Colt who won the Nunthorpe as a two year old. CLICK HERE for latest betting It is the start of a two day York meeting, with the John Smith's Cup on Saturday. We will have a look at that race tomorrow! Thursday 10th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Going Now Soft At HQ... The weather caused a few problems at Newmarket and Darjina didn't run. Today we have no Group One but we have two excellent Group Two races. Newmarket 14:00
Tnt July Stakes (group 2)
Prolific has the best form, third in the Norfolk Stakes and will take a world of beating. Ryan Moore is ahead in the jockeys title race and Richard Hannon's two year olds are in sensational form. Tom Dascombes colt has done well, but yet to race at this leval. Prolific looks a solid option but may be a short price. Newmarket 15:10
Princess Of Wales's Wbx.com Stakes (group 2)
The soft ground will play right in to the hands of super filly Anna Pavlova. She ran a brilliant race last time to take the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks. The only concern is that therace comes too soon, but she has proven she is tough as old boots. Richard Fahey is flying this season and has proven that he can mix it with the big boys. What about the betting on our two bets? PROLIFIC- click HERE for the latest odds ANNA PAVLOVA - click HERE for the latest odds Wednesday 9th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Today is the Group One Falmouth Stakes. It seems that Darjina has arrived fit and well, but now the danger is the ground. As long as the ground is fine then I think she will WIN. I am laying Finsceal Beo too. Newmarket 3:10
Uae Hydra Properties Falmouth Stakes (fillies' Group 1)
Best Price: Tuesday 8th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Forget Today..Get On for Wednesday... The July meeting at Newmarket starts on Wednesday. We are going to have a great three days, and it starts with a couple of good races, Two tough Group races. First up is the Cherry Hinton. Newmarket 2:35
Irish Thoroughbred Marketing Cherry Hinton Stakes (fill Gp2)
The first thing to say is that there is no outstanding performer in this line up and the market will be tight. My instinct is to let this race pas, but if there is the opportunity to lay the fav then I would at the right price as quite literally any of them could win. However the Group One on the card is a much better proposition. I would say that this is one that will NOT be going the way of Aiden O'Brien, no prizes for that statement but it does give someone else a chance when he saddles no runner. Darjina heads the betting and rightly so. The French Filly has very strong claims. Her season has consisted of three seconds, but the French filly has suffered a terrible journey having been held up at Calais for ten hours. If she does not run then Finsceal Beo will probably be favourite but after her last run where she did not run any sort of race I would want to take her on. Newmarket 3:10
Uae Hydra Properties Falmouth Stakes (fillies' Group 1)
VERDICT
Monday 7th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Its July Cup Week... The July meeting at Newmarket is a great meeting, primarily becuase it provides great racing mid-week. I have been to the July meeting several times and it is one of my favourite meetings, right in the middle of summer at the home of racing. Starting on Wednesday the feature race is the Group 1 Cherry Hinton Stakes, over 1m for fillies 3yo+. 14 runners are entered with declarations made by 10am Monday. The feature on Thursday is the Group Two Princess of Wales stakes and Friday is a wonderful day with the Group One July Sprint Cup and the Group Two Superlative Stakes. We will get stuck in to these races as and when the declarations are made. We are now on Facebook.. NAPS TABLE TARGET... Sunday 6th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Mount Nelson Wins Eclipse and we told you! On Friday I wrote... In a race short of Group One performers I would go with the Ballydoyle team and Mount Nelson.
Mount Nelson is obviously a second string at Ballydoyle, other stables he would be a star, and yet he won a Group One. What a brilliant trainer Aiden O'Brien is, and what a price. 7-2 Although 4-1 was widely available. Murtagh has won so many Group One races this year he must be on cloud nine. WHAT A RESULT and a race that was billed as a poor Group One provided a thrilling finish. It was close but confidence must have been the driver for Murtagh who out rode Durcan to win on the line. Saturday 5th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice The £10m Soverign Series...Good or Bad? Good for Racing...the traditionalists will probably say NO...the revolutionists will say yes. Racing must move with the times and this can only be good for the game.. From Marketing Week Magazine The competition is intended to broaden the appeal of horse racing in the face of increasing competition from other sports. It aims to link a number of flat races into a competition and will run throughout the flat racing season to maintain intereste from viewers. Racing UK has joined forces with Ascot to drive the initiative. The channel will be promoting and managing the collective broadcast and multimedia rights for the series. The move will link ten prestigious races, among them, The Derby, King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes and The Stan James 2,000 Guineas. It also involves seven of the country's leading racecourses; Newmarket, Newbury, Epsom, Sandown, Goodwood, York and Ascot. The competition has received the backing of the British Horseracing Authority, as well as owners, trainers and jockeys. The series will run for initial three years and an additional pot of £5m per annum has been added to the existing £5m prize money for the races with a £2m prize for the overall winner. A further £3m has been allocated to marketing, promoting and producing the series. Racing UK chief executive Simon Bazalgette says he believes the Sovereign Series will capture the imagination of sports fans and create a new proposition for broadcasters and sponsors. In addition to the Derby and the 2,000 Guineas at Newmarket, the series will comprise of the Emirates Airline Champion Stakes, the Juddmonte Lockinge Stakes, the Prince of Wales's Stakes, the Coral Eclipse, the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the Sussex Stakes, the Juddmonte International and the Queen Elizabeth II Stakes
Pay as You Win Update... Racing Books....A Classic Book that Punters Will Love....
Friday 4th July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice The big Group One for the weekend has been declared. Nine go to post for the Sandown feature. The racecard is below. Sandown 3:20 (RUK and CH 4)
Coral Eclipse (group 1)
£500000.00 added, 3yo plus, 1m 2f 7y, Class 1, Winner: £283850.00
Aiden O'Brien runs only one horse, no pacemakers, no covering his options, just one horse. Given the ammunition available to the Ballydoyle trainer then this is something we must take notice of. That said Mount Nelson was used as a pacemaker last time out at Royal Ascot for Haradason and has not got much top class form. We must rely on the trainers view here who clearly thinks he is capable, and given O’Brien’s double figure haul of Group One’s to date then this is more than significant. It does not look a great Group One. They are all ‘nearly’ horses for me, and if Mount Nelson can justify the faith of his trainer it could be his for the taking. Godolphin have a great record in this race and Campanologist ran a good race at Ascot, but that was not a Group One! In a race short of Group One performers I would go with the Ballydoyle team and Mount Nelson. Fingers Crossed for Danielle DANIELLE McCREERY has been taken to hospital in Middlesbrough with suspected neck and back injuries after a fall before the opener at Redcar on Thursday evening.
Thursday 3rd July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice GREAT DAY FOR TELEWIN
For information about the Free to Register, No Win No Fee Service- Dial 0844 811 2811 Bellewstown Races Today – Very Special Course Bellewstown Racecourse, on the Hill of Crockafotha in Co. Meath, is beautifully situated with magnificent views of the Mountains of Mourne to the north and the Irish Sea to the east. The tradition of summer racing at Bellewstown dates back centuries and the first record of racing here appears in the August edition of the Dublin Gazette and the Weekly Courier in 1726. They say you cant have too much of a good thing, well certainly this good thing only has five race days a year. These are; July Festival 2008:
August Festival 2008:
The racing is Live on At The Races, see what I mean and if you get a chance ever then pay a visit to Bellewstown. Wednesday 2nd July 2008 - Click Here for Telewin Betting Advice Here's to a super July! There is some great racing this month with the Coral Eclipse at Sandown on Saturday the first Group One for us to get stuck in to. Remember last year?
This is when Ryan Moore hit the headlines for his great ride on Notnowcato going it alone. Great race. This year has been dominated by Aiden O'Brien andnd co taking just about all the Group One races. MOUNT NELSON is set to be Aidan O'Brien's only runner in the Coral-Eclipse Stakes at Sandown on Saturday, when the trainer will bid for his 12th Group 1 victory of the season. ELEVEN Group One Races in the bag so far is amazing! He may well do it again! I would not bet against it that is for sure! 7/2 looks a good price to me, given that the trainer could have run any number of horses here. CLICK HERE for latest Betting. Whats coming up this month....
Fancy a Good Read?...Racing Books For Father's Day I was given two racing books by my daughers.
If you have any racing books you would like to recommend then please email me- carl@telewin.co.uk
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