As General Election day draws near we have done a straw poll and it seems, that in what is a very close call, the Conservatives have a chance of winning. Bookmakers are offering 5/6 that the Tories win with a majority and it is also 5/6 that there is a Hung Parliament. We ask a range experts (not necessarily in politics) what they predict the outcome will be….
From the responses it seems that a pattern is emerging….
Nick Luck (Channel 4 and Racing UK) told Racing Diary that he thinks the Tories might snare an absolutely minute – ie single figure – majority.
Jon Gaunt (SunTalk Radio) Has a very definite view. “It is not who wins this election but who wins the next election in six months time. I predict a small Conservative minority which is likely to prove so unworkable that David Cameron will need to go back to the Country to seek a mandate to govern effectively”
Iain Dale (Conservative Blogger) in January predicted a Conservative majority of twelve and is sticking by that on the eve of the election.
Charlie McCann from Stan James thinks the momentum will swing towards the Tories in the last 48 hours especially when the daily newspapers have their say on Thursday and believe they will just have a majority in the House Of Commons on Friday morning.
Graham Sharpe from William Hill is more confident that the Conservative Party will form the new government with a majority of around 20 seats. He also thinks we will see Gordon Brown quit as Labour Leader before Saturday.
Barry Robson (Tipster) thinks that it will be a very small Tory majority but that there is likely to be another UK election within months as a result.
Martel Maxwell, Author (Scandalous) and Journalist thinks that the Election may result in a slim Conservative victory but it will be more interesting in Scotland.
Venetia Thompson (Author) Thinks the Tories will definately win with a small majority, possibly in single figures, avoiding a hung Parliament.
Carl Harris from Racing Diary thinks that it is going to be close, very close and David Cameron will need the momentum to carry the Conservatives over the line. “I hate to say it but I think it could be a hung Parliament and I have said before that Gordon Brown could remain as PM despite not winning the election. Brown doesn’t need to win elections to get his jobs”.
The UK goes to the polls on Thursday 6th May. What do you think?
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