UK horse racing on Monday shapes as a strong day of betting with action coming in from Wolverhampton, Catterick and Plumpton (subject to an 8am inspection at Plumpton). Below we highlight 6 of the races on the flat AW card for racing at Wolverhampton. Good value exists in plenty of the races.
All Weather action at Wolves
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Wolverhampton 2.10 R1 No7 Straboe (1) – lightly raced improver and well bred type by Green Desert out of the Arch mare Staff Nurse, comes into this having 7th career start on the back of breaking maiden status 2 starts ago at Yarmouth over 6f by 2l, made all that day and stayed on strongly at the business end getting the 6f strongly, form refs through the btn brigade put it well up to winning vs this lot it faces today, last start also looked the winner over 6f at Kempton towards the end of December when it ambled up to hit the front 2f out travelling on the bit but found nothing when put under pressure to finish 5th btn 2.5l, it was 1st up off a 4.5 month break that day and may have given way to fitness, drops back to 5f here and fitter now and every chance of recapturing the form it showed winning 2 starts ago, if so it shapes as hard to hold out here.
Wolverhampton 2.10 R1 No1 Across The Sands (1) – overly well bred type by hot young sire Oasis Dream out of the Don’t Forget Me mare Dam Well Beyond who is also the dam of 6 winners from 7 others to race including 2 stakes performers Out Of Reach and Well Warned, has been off the scene since moderate form late in December but gets blinkers 1st time here and is freshened leading into this, go on effort at 2nd career start when 3rd btn 3l by Master Lightfoot over 5f at Lingfield, form refs out of that race read well for what it takes on here, minor query having to lump topweight but has the scope for further improvement and at 20/1+ early on exchanges warrants specking.
Wolverhampton 3.10 R3 No9 Spinning Well (2) – lightly raced improver 2nd up from a spell here on the back of finishing a well btn 4th at Lingfield over 10f last start, fitter now 2nd up and likely to improve for that last start effort, prefer to go on previous form in Ireland including 3 back at the Curragh when 2nd btn a head by Final Approach over 8f on soft going, form refs out of that race put it well above the level required to win here, some will query its ability to get a strong 12f but it is well bred with stamina injected through the dam’s side of the pedigree by Pivotal out of the Sadler’s Wells mare Kiltubber, gets in well weighted vs these foes carrying the minimum 8st12lbs, both jockey and trainer in good form presently with yard turning out 2 winners from 5 starters this month and this one looks likely to be a 3rd for this hot yard.
Wolverhampton 3.40 R4 No1 Bubbly Braveheart (4) – a field of only 4 runners greets us here and this well bred type by Cape Cross out of the Bering mare Infinity looks super hard to hold out on the back of its last start victory at Lingfield over 10f, only scored by 1l on the line last start but was held up at critical stage and quickly put paid to them when asked to assert authority over the final 100y, always looked the winner, also put good margins back through the field and overall depth of the foes it beat that day was clearly superior to what it faces here, only rises 3lb in weight off that win and realistically has been gifted this by the handicapper, drops back 100y off that last start win but its superior turn of foot and hot current form should see it win this by a wide margin.
Wolverhampton 4.10 R5 No2 Johnmanderville (1) – in prepost markets this one was marked up 16/1 2nd outsider in the field but that assessment is way over its true chances, decently bred type by Kheleyf out of the Charnwood Forest mare Lady’s Walk and comes into this 1st up off a 4 month break on the back of last start finishing 1.7l 2nd to Gaily Noble on this track over this distance, that was a weaker race in terms of advertised class than it faces here but the overall depth of this field is not great and this ones form on turf last season is well above the level required to win here, the yard is in good form on the AW and sent out Ingleby Star to win here last Monday as a 10/1 chance from only 2 runners, the big query is the apprentice hoop engaged to ride Shirley Teasdale and this is her first ride in 2010 and she didn’t ride a winner from 7 rides in 2009, so she is the big unknown but her weight relief does get Johnmanderville in well weighted here vs the major danger Hannicean, those 2 should fight the race out but the value option is Johnmanderville and that is the way we will play this race.
Wolverhampton 4.40 R6 No4 Pastello (2) – deceivingly well bred type by Exceed And Excel out of the 3 times stakes placed Lion Cavern mare Pastel, 1st up here off the back of a 2 1/2 month break for the astute Richard Hannon yard and gets in very well weighted after the 7lb claim for Charles Eddery, unplaced both starts on the AW at the end of last season but looks to have been at the end of its preperation, form prior on the turf at Leicester, Brighton and Newmarket when only btn 2l by the likes of Bab At The Bowser and Quiet reads very well for a race of this nature, if it is ready for this 1st up tilt then it will shake the life out of this race, has been backed early on the exchanges from 6.00 into 5.00 which is a good sign, any further money adds confidence that it is ready for this 1st up tilt.
Wolverhampton 5.10 R7 No2 Herbert Crescent (2) – decently bred type by Averti out of the Zafonic mare With Distinction who is also the dam of one other runner to race being the Listed winner Talking Hands (also 2l 4th in G3 company), comes into this 1st up from a 2 month spell after failing last 2 starts, 3 runs prior to that when 2nd each time on this track over 7f and 9f suggest it is well up to the level required to win here, trainer and jockey both hot on the AW in 2010, jockey has ridden 12 winners from 42 rides in 2010 (7 winners last 17 rides), 29% strike rate in 2010, trainer has saddled 3 winners from 15 runners, 20% strike rate with 3 other runners finishing 2nd, very good value in early betting on the exchanges at 9.40, one of the better value bets on the Wolverhampton card.
