Nathan Lynch has more bets for you. Nathan is a pro punter based in Australia and runs website From The Horses Mouth.
USA Racing
Philadelphia R8 No2 Calm And Collected (2) – absolutely flying at present winning 9 from 13 this year including last 3 on end, very good effort 2 back when dictating an above average tempo on the front end over 1m70y at Penn National, led by 6l entering the stretch run and battled on strong one paced with a nice turn of foot holding that margin to the line to win by 6.2l putting a further 5.2l back to 3rd in a field of 5, franked that form winning by 9l on sloppy going next time out against similar, has good initial speed and likely to go straight to the front here from the 2 alley and prove hard to run down in deep stretch.
Meadowlands R7 No9 Miss Match (2) – former Argentinean galloper having 2nd start this prep and 3rd run in the USA, 4 starts ago won the Argentine Oaks G1 at Hipodromo by 3l on dirt widening the margin down the stretch run hitting the line very hard, franked that form next start when 3rd in the G1 Copa De Plata on turf at San Isidoro btn 2.5l, was tried on yielding turf 1st USA start 3 back and failed, forget the run, resumed last start at Delaware over 1m closing with strong pars coming from midfield off only an average pace to finish 2nd btn a neck with good margins further back through the field in OC30K company, fitter now and switched back to the turf likely to get one of the runs of the race tracking a minimum solid tempo with 3 potential leaders engaged, well bred by very good South American based son of AP Indy (Indigo Shiner) out of a Southern Halo mare, proven it can handle the turf when 3rd in the Copa De Plata and with the good un in transit will be the one closing hardest in deep stretch, lightly raced having only faced the starter 8 times, decent scope for further improvement here.
Two US bets today
UK Racing
Exeter 1.40 R1 No7 Kahsabelle (2) – 1st up this preperation for the astute Venetia Williams yard who has produced 3 winners from her last 11 runners over the last 7 day span, last time when starting off a lengthy break finished 2nd at Ascot btn 0.7l by Santia over 16f in bottomless heavy going in 6K Novice hurdle company, hit the front before the 2nd last and battled on strongly to get nabbed close home after battling on strongly, fitness told, put good margins back to 3rd and 4th and 5th suggesting very good hidden merit in the performance, back onto better going here suits and faces a drop in class on that performance, yet to win in 12 career starts but in the right race now on exposed class and ready to break maiden status, currently on offer at 3.75 with betfair which is about 1/2 a point over the right quote we need to secure true value.
Sedgefield 1.20 R2 No1 Honour The World (2) - drops sharply in class here and back to hurdles after contesting Chase events against much stronger last 2 efforts (not disgraced considering what it takes on here), ships over from Ireland and go on effort at Bellewstown 4 starts ago defeating Wikaala and Gratified on yielding ground over 3f shorter than today’s trip, should get the distance OK considering this is a firmer surface it gets to take advantage of here, biggest query is is the other main pick in the market Commons Glory who gets weight relief carrying 1stone less but it was under heavy pressure last start over 2m1f when headed by Mickmacmagoogle going over the last jump.
