Strike The Tiger won the 5.30 for us yesterday, amazingly he got out to 50/1 at points on Betfair!! Today there are more great bets at Royal Ascot….
Potential Superstar Has Jersey Stakes At Its Mercy
Ascot 2.30 Loch Linnhe (2) – looked a superstar winning on debut over 8f at Newmarket on 23 May, form refs through the btn brigade suggest it can comfortably make this step in class to the higher level encountered here, very well bred by Elusive Quality out of a Danehill mare, drops back to 7f here after making all over 8f on debut, former Andre Fabre trained horse in France who failed to make the track after consistent starting stall problems in France, potential topliner in the making, this merely a stepping stone to stronger races. Currently trading at 8.40 on the exchanges represents huge value here, should be 4.00 in this market.
Lush Value In The Windsor Forest Stakes
Lush lashes can win today...
Ascot 3.05 Lush Lashes (3) – very well bred by Galileo out of an Anabaa mare, looked a super filly last season winning at G1 level on good to firm going by 5l 7 starts ago, slaughtered by Manning next time out when 2nd at Goodwood over 10f also on good to firm behind Halfway To Heaven btn a head, should have won by 2l, came out and franked that form scoring next 2 both at Group 1 level including on inferior yielding ground at Leopardstown, 2nd up now fitter this prep and back on top of the ground, has a big class edge on this lot and if right surely wins this, sensational value at 2.66 on the exchanges currently, may drift slightly further, anything better than 2.30 here is good value.
Market Is Wrong In Prince Of Wales
A distinct feeling emerges that the Prince Of Wales Stakes is a very open affair with 4 seen chances in our eyes, if the real Tartan Bearer show up than he is deserved favorite but three others at good double figure odds can be backed with minor confidence to roll him and his other fancied foes at the top of the betting order.
Trincot looks the best chance of scoring an upset, his effort last start was true Group 1 form and his widening 3l win in Group 2 company 2 starts ago was full of merit for this.
Virtual keeps on making progress and has further scope for improvement and amongst his scalps last start is yesterday’s G1 winner Paco Boy. He is very well bred by Pivotal, serious claims indeed!
Tazeez can not be left out of calculations, his 1st up win at Newmarket over 9f in Group 3 company has been subsequently proven as a good form reference, prepared to forgive him for his last start failure at Longchamp taking on G1 foes, he can atone and is better than that down the track effort
So back these 3 to win
Trincot – 1 unit @ 24.00
Virtual – 1 unit @ 15.50
Tazeez – 1 unit @ 25.00
All at big juicy double figure odds.
For place punters Trincot looks the best value and chance of these and at 4.40 on the exchanges is very good value.
Favorite Looks The Real Deal In Royal Hunt Cup (4.20)
In assessing this race we have went with the basic theory that a lightly raced potential Group horse shapes as the most likely winner of such a big Heritage Handicap field where the pace is sure to be true, class should prevail.
Under the assertion it is very hard to dismiss the chances of the outright dominant favorite in this big field Forgotten Voice, this 4yo colt by Danehill Dancer is now 3 from 3 after winning by a widening 3l margin over 8f at Kempton last start, all his wins have come on the AW and he may prove slightly more effective on the AW but simple fact that he is by Danehill Dancer out of a Spend A Buck mare suggests he should totally relish the good to firm turf surface here, his last win was full of merit and the form out of the race suggests he is definitely up to Group 3 company on that win, he has further scope for improvement which makes him terribly hard to beat.
The only seen realistic danger looks to be Nanton who drops back to 8f from 10f last time out and does look ready to peak, his effort 5 starts ago when 2nd to Tazeez at Newmarket over 9f in a 28 horse field btn only 1l suggests he is well above average and he may be ready to reproduce that form here, if so he will test Forgotten Voice at odds.
There is enough depth in the market to back both of them obviously in this very big field with a big leaning towards the lightly raced improver Forgotten Voice over Nanton.
Forgotten Voice – 4 units @ 5.40
Nanton – 1 unit @ 23.00
For place punters Nanton is the way to go here at the 6.00 on offer for the drum, don’t get me wrong Forgotten Voice will run a drum but with 4 dividends Nanton is huge value at 6.00 for one of the other 3 place positions!
Foreign Connection Set For Queen Mary (4.55) Success
Potentially a very high class Queen Mary field greets us here and 2 horses are worth backing for a result across the race.
Our top elect is the recent very impressive listed winner Don’t Tell Mary, her last start score by 4l in a field of 16 over 5f at Beverly just oozed class, she got well back that day but made quick headway when asked to put the issue beyond doubt with a very sharp turn of foot, she hit the line hard and in the big field jam packed with speed today she will get every chance to close off just as hard, she is likely to be very well suited by the stiff 5f test the way she hit the line so hard and Scenic Blast’s effort coming from off the pace yesterday is a similar style to suggest she is suited the way the track is playing. She is by the New Zealand bred son of Soviet Star in the form of Starcraft, don’t underestimate him as a sire, he was top class in Australia and won 5 Group 1 races in 4 different countries, not many horses anywhere in the world can do that, despite her precociousness this filly looks the real deal in terms of Thousand Guineas calculations next season.
The USA connection of Velazquez and Ward hit the mark with their juvenile Strike The Tiger yesterday in the 5.30 which we tipped and backed at 50/1, interestingly the trainer suggested his other 2yo’s to come were better than Strike The Tiger, they enter Jealous Again here who was 2nd in a very strong Grade 3 race at Chruchill Downs last start btn 1.2l by Agean, if the trainer is right this one has serious claims.
We can back them both with decent confidence for a result across the race.
Don’t Tell Mary – 4 units @ 5.80
Jealous Again – 2 units @ 11.00
For place punters you can rest comfortably having a good go at Don’t Tell Mary, she looks clearly the best of these and has everything in her favour, currently trading at 2.28 the drum is huge place value, she should be 1.75 for the place.
Lay punters can lay both the current exchange favorite Rose Blossom at 5.10 and also Lady Of The Desert at 7.80
Get Live News from Royal Ascot – click Play to Launch the Live Service…
