Racing is back at Epsom today where we have a 14-1 Tip
There were some red faces yesterday after Billy Beetroots run at Folkstone. He went off too fast and failed to see out the 6 furlongs at that speed, much to the annoyance of many. We came out unscathed as the lay of Mythical Blue was never in doubt despite its strong market support. We followed up with a lay of Lady Bora who was heavily punted but failed to show and was easily held. Now we move on to Wednesday in search of further winners.
Epsom stages it’s first meeting of the year which looks a very good card but is competitive to say the least! There are some good bets there, for the brave and we should get some good prices given the size and make up of the card.
Ladies Best (4.15) was I thought rather eye-catching at Pontefract getting a dream opening to score cheekily. The booking of George Baker is a strong statement of intent by the stable and looks to be on a handy mark for a repeat victory bid. Up only 3lbs for his win leaves him still 2lb lower than the mark he ran off in June to finish second over today’s course and distance. Betfair shows Ladies Best to be a 13-1 chance this morning and a win and place investment (first four) is my plan today. Big price in a very competitive race but has a great chance and is worth a small investment.
The Perth Festival starts today, over the jumps which traditionally for me is a nightmare. I keep telling myself to forget the jumpers this time of year. Despite the firm ground there are decent fields, but I fear many non-runners and the toll of a long season on many of the runners makes it far to unpredictable to come out on top. It is a good meeting and very enjoyable, but not one for me to get involved with.
Kempton stages an all-weather card tonight which I usually do not bother with, but Green Agenda (8.20) who won at Thirsk on Friday is out again (8.20) and I think will win again under a penalty. Another competitive affair but the 5.4 on Betfair looks value and I think is worth backing.
Laying for Success…
I was speaking to a fellow punter yesterday, Dave McAuley who runs an excellent site called Formbet, and he was telling me that he had compiled some stats that showed if you laid all the odds on shots over the past 3 years for £100 you would be over £100k in profit. I was staggered. I have invited Dave to Post on the site and has agreed to do so which will be great, but those stats kept me awake (for a few minutes) last night. Very interesting! We must start laying them, so get your Betfair account and £25 free bet up and running asap!
I have a two year old to lay today and infact have already done so at 5-1. I was reading Tom Dascombes blog last night who said he had a Monkey called Gertmegalush who he expected would unleash very little at Catterick (2.20) in the seller. Already gelded Dascombe gave the impression that this is not one of his stable stars and is in fact useless. Given those words I have laid him and will never trust a trainer again if he hoses up today!
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